Monday, December 26, 2022

Political Mirroring Volume VI: Empires of Mass Abstraction

Volume VI:

Empires of Mass Abstraction

Maxim: “Avoid political discussions when everyone’s society cannot receive a guaranteed benefit.”

The Highlights of Abstract Mirroring Volume VI:

  • Reminder: Belief acceptance + Context=Harmony.
  • Micropower: In a debate or small group setting, micropower describes the inter-personal dynamic of using coercion and self-justification to resist rational arguments. At that point in a debate, if you aren't with them, you're against them.  Conversely, a person becomes a peasant of, I mean, a subject of Mirroring and a would-be Empire builder of ideology.  
  • Authority: is the legitimate exercise of power without active justification because it is reasonably accepted and exercises power rationally.  However, when a subject with a legitimate, rational complaint rejects their duty to obey and performs an open act of noncompliance, the subject questions the legitimacy of the authority, prompting a potential coercive reaction to preserve that which cannot be justified without threatening legitimacy with the other subjects.     
  • Raw Power: While power is the perception of an ability to command others to act, speak, or do neither, Raw Power specifically requires force to achieve compliance regardless of all objections.  It is irrational because a potentially valid response is not allowed as it is simply deemed to be disobedient.  Ex. demanding the deference of political opinion from unknown persons regardless of their views, shouting others down (volume), clapping at people to cover over a lack of words, physically intimidating others, using selective and biased media coverage, preventing typed responses, etc. 
  • Decision Fog: Based on Plato's Cave and the imperfection of the senses, and Yoda's Den of Evil, a mirror for Luke Skywalker's self-discovery of the Force, and the idea of self-selecting ones' failures or successes.  It's the real-time flaws of information processing when exercising power.  It may lead to confusion, misinformation, perceiving rational opinions as misinformation, or leading to untimely decision-making (too slow or fast). 
  • Legitimate Resistance: is the ability to resist a command using rational, valid means that cannot go unanswered by a claimant authority.  The failure of an aware authority to rationally counter an objection or to ignore it altogether may lead that authority to use Raw Power to enforce compliance of a potentially unjust order. 
  • Illegitimate Resistance: means disobeying rational orders or the law without using a valid complaint pursued through the established system in context.  For ex.: breaking into a public building and rioting to disrupt an electoral vote count, destroying police stations and injuring officers to prevent enforcement of the law without pursuing valid complaints through the system, spray painting priceless art to make a political point, or forcing Supreme Court confirmation hearings to suspend because of loud protests. 
  • Schlamperei: A German word for untidiness and sloppiness, often used for government authories. For our purposes, it is used to separate a valid complainant and their object of ire: an institution’s inefficient and lazy exercise of authority.  Valid complaints are treated with a cold shoulder, pushed through slow bureaucratic processes, or if relentlessly pursued, punished using Raw Power.  
  • Fossil Fallacy (Collective Identity Fallacy): A justification by old, established collectives (Frozen-in-Carbonite institutions) that possess authority and use identity or duration fallacies to justify further commands while dismissing rational challenges.  Ex. “We cannot allow the undermining of this important, respected institution because we are this important, respected institution.”  As with pragmatism's "fossils," they may cease to be useful and act more like museum pieces to be seen and not touched (or confronted).   
  • Micropower Microaggressions (MMAs): An unsolvable complaint about a microaggression and one that empowers the complainant in dis-proportionally combative ways relative to the significance of what actually happened.  Seemingly small and even innocent interactions act as proxies for broader unsolvable issues (Macrofaults) like race or gender discrimination in America.   
  • Identity Safety in a Space (ISiS): A type of ad hominem fallacy.  This involves constructing an environment where another person's power, deemed a threat to a perceived identity, is limited merely because of who they are in order to preserve an irrational sense of safety, or one based on superficial assumptions.  Ex. Rejecting those with an unfamiliar fashion style because of their looks rather than the content of their opinions, or assuming a white male is a threat without rationally considering any of their views about a controversial matter. 
  • Safespace Parlors: A friendly debate environment or Parlor, as opposed to an emotional support space, where debate authority is reserved only for a specific class of people because of that group’s supposed emotional sensitivity to truths.  For the invading group to use power in that context could de-legitimize the authority of the group constructing the Parlor. Its proponents often use words like “We’ve heard enough from that group” to cordon themselves off from dispute, especially from truths, and in order to prevent both real and imagined aggression.  Ex. "Because rioters stormed the capital on January 6th in Washington, an open Trump supporter is a threat to my personal safety if they disagree with me in New York City after I confront them about their outfit in a public restaurant."
  • Old Bois/Girlz Clubs (Originalist) vs. Revisionist Safespaces: Originalist Safespace Parlors occur when traditional groups irrationally limit the participation of a perceived outside class (“others”).  Revisionists are newer parlors created to limit participation by perceived originalist groups in order to re-balance or achieve some level of corrective "social justice" in a way that cannot be proven or guarantee the intended result.     
  • Council of Mirrors: A voluntary institution of individuals pursuing greater value out of micro-politics and the accurate use of abstractions.  By exercising conversational mirroring, our subjects experience no coercive authority or Raw Power as we choose to practice belief acceptance in context, and leave the conversation with our subjects believing in harmony.  As a successful, truly pragmatic institution and a model for others, we achieve greater efficiency, a more rational output, and gain greater agreement from our subjects. 
  • Ronklainian Propaganda Tools:  Chief of Staff Ronald Klain’s tools to convince stupid “Uncles” at a holiday gathering among family. It is opposite advice to what a mirror would give and an exercise in identifying boorish sources of abstraction in an interpersonal, micropower setting (unpersuasive dinner table politics lectured to “idiots”).
Four Empires of Mass Abstraction (Abstract political case studies of the dominant American political factions):
  • Exhibit A: Mar-a-lago-an Rebels: Populist demagoguery + Reacting to elite and institutional indifference= Relentless attackers who use glittering generalities and conspiracies to change the existing political order.  Ex. "The Big Steal Doom Pit," "Antisemitism and Racism," and "Fort Mar-a-Lago." 
  • Exhibit B: Chenyist First Order: Elitist moralizing + Control of Powerful Institutions= top down Neo-Puritan resistance to the concerns of the "ignorant" masses.  Ex. "Constitional Threats are ONLY When We Say They're Threats," "Neo-Puritan Warmongering," and "I'll See You in Hell'Ism."
  • Exhibit C: The Sandersista Resistance: Populist demagoguery + Radical ideologies emphasizing severe coercion and re-distributive giveaways =  wanting to radically reshape society by reshaping or destroying unfriendly corporations and institutions, and proactively limiting the ability of opponents to respond by cancelling them.  Ex. "Don't You Dare Call Us Privileged Hypocrites!," "Safety for Me, But F Thee!," and "Existential Threats! Not Conspiracy-Smearacies."
  • Exhibit D:  Darkside Brandonists: Absentee Elitist Condescension + Gaslighting ones' radical and moderate flanks= Altering society as little as possible and demanding credit for doing it because the other party is intractable about something they don't believe and won't do it anyways.  So, everyone should be thanked for the least results possible!  Pray Darkside Brandonists don't alter it any further! Ex. "The Gaslight is a Beacon for Tired, Huddled, Drug Lords," "Student Loan Forgiveness Bait and Switch," and "All Our Foreign Policy Weaknesses are Actually All Our Strengths.  Shut up!"

Table of Contents

I. Introduction: Unlearn What You Have Learned

Part I:  Authority:

A Fully Armed and Operational Battle-station.

II.  Bow to the First Order!

III.  Micropower and The Ethics of Accepting Authority

IV. Fogs and Caves

V.  Schlamperei: Frozen-in-Carbonite Institutions

Part II: Compliance: 

Star Systems Slipping Through Tight Grips

VI.The Conformity Paradox

VII.Legitimate Resistance and Failing to Accept “Irrational” Authority

VIII. Micropower Microaggressions (MMAs)             

 IX. Safespace Parlors and Identity Safety in a Space (ISiS)

 

X.An Intermission: A Counsel of Mirrors

 

Part III: Applications:

Demonstrating the Capabilities of this (Battle) Station  


XI. Macropower Method Studies

XIII. Ronklainian Propaganda Tools

XIV. Glossary:

You Are Protocol Droid Are You Not?

Monday, August 15, 2022

Afghanistan Chronicle

Why would I chronicle about Afghanistan safely from afar when Biden was aggressively selling his "Build Back Better" program in the Summer of 2021 and people were falling from airplanes?

As an historian, I memorialize what I can and 2021 provided a lot of material.  In early 2020, I woke up confident in certain inalienable protections I’d been granted by nature since birth, then I consented to wear my mask, and got my three shots to protect myself from getting COVID and to prevent its spread to others before it didn't prevent the spread and I still got it.   My experience then and even more now was of a world out of control, made of serious, historical events, ones that increasingly fractured the country in ways I've never seen. 

Aside from COVID, the years of 2020-2 went beyond simple change.  There were the aftereffects of an impeachment over an anti-corruption phone-call with the President of Ukraine (who still leads that nation, only now it's invaded by Russia one year into the Biden epoch), COVID-era misinformation most commonly put in the form of memes trying to prove scientific things, increased public acceptance of censorship especially on social media despite the most common sense spirit of the First Amendment, the riot on January 6th and a retro-impeachment despite the Constitution, and then the Afghanistan debacle, the second great defeat in American history after Vietnam.  After this period of chaos, some things done by us Americans can never be put back into the bag.

In the summer of 2022, the world is on the precipice of two potentially world-ending flashpoints: in Eastern Europe and in the Taiwan Straits.  In reference to an expanded Ukraine War or a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, we should beware of the lessons of the recent past:

  • Why undermining the Afghan government, releasing prisoners without consideration, and failing to support the national army especially with air support when the Taliban violated the deal, led to the collapse of morale and the rapid fall of the country.
  • Why the administration would keep a Trump-era deal with the Taliban without following the actual letter of it, while Biden tore apart almost every other policy of his predecessor.  The Trump deal became political cover for Biden's execution of the withdrawal under far worse circumstances.  
  • Why the inaccuracies, flip-flopping, stubbornness, and blundering of the Biden administration on the world stage made a pre-planned, conditions-based withdrawal into an embarrassing rout with the final conditions of our departure almost exclusively at the whims of different on-site Taliban battle-commanders. 
  • Why such a momentous decision by our leaders requires just as great a response and justification to the public, especially considering our incredible now-wasted 20-year investment in the conflict, something undeserving of a flippant and arrogant brushing off of legitimate questions.
  • A useful investigation like the 9/11 Commission, and unlike the January 6th partisan TV show, where the failures are examined in as objective way as possible.  Certainly, almost no member of the past two administrations or the current Congress is neutral enough to stave off partisan taint and grant a real commission the prestige needed.
  • How the failures in Afghanistan emboldened the decisions of America's rivals in just one year since August 15th, 2021, the fall of Kabul.        

So, stubbornness proved to be a worse approach to foreign policy than blustering our way through, as evidenced by the lack of aggression from our enemies prior to August 2021 and the head-in-sand, no compromise approach to withdrawing US presence from Afghanistan during that summer.  And I am jaded not just with our obstinate and unavailable leaders or their reflexive media supporters, but with our own people who had they historical and civic training might be courageous enough to demand better than what we got: like millions of dollars of operable military equipment dumped on the side of the road, the bombing at the Kabul gate killing and wounding dozens, an innocent family blown up and called terrorist masterminds, or babies being flung over a fence to try to get them out.  

Domestic political consumption is largely composed of an uninformed and ignorant American public that frets when it sees terrible footage, but often doesn't know how to change political, military, or diplomatic leadership because domestic partisanship from both sides obscures necessary truths to make an informed decision.  Yet, this lack of interest jeopardizes American interests abroad, smacking them in the face only when an event, like the killing of 13 soldiers, suddenly appears before them like some demonic phenomenon.  They simply want out of confrontations, unwilling to sacrifice blood and treasure after rubber-stamping the decision-makers of the past.  Forget that the world has been aflame and people are killed in extremely violent ways from East Africa, Yemen, to Burma.  

For our interests, Afghanistan mattered not just in that we left, but in how we left.  There is an obligation after all the death to say something a little bit more than just enough to avoid serious political blowback. This need to inform others of the truths is what drives me, even if only a few people view it or the burning sarcasm seems off-putting to those that always toe a partisan line and go back to believing all is chipper in Biden's (or Trump's) Afghanistan. 

So, I approached this enfolding story not as some neophyte who was suddenly made aware that Afghanistan existed.  Instead, I was informed by 20 years of watching the issue, starting on September 11, 2001, when I was sitting in my dorm room waiting to go to my political science class on terrorism. Generally, I supported ending American involvement, but only if it was calculated, careful, and didn't result in pulling the plug on the government's forces before they were ready.  That action transpired in April and May of 2021 when the national army realized there would be no backing under Biden, no air support or direct US involvement, so they fled the field, precipitating total collapse.  

Having watched the "War on Terror," Iraq, and Afghanistan carefully, I was severely frustrated and angry at the handling of the retreat as I was at many times after 9/11.  The flashbacks came quick and I didn't even serve in the war or suffer really.  After all, I stayed comfortably at home merely studying.  However, I didn't like seeing our country's people and resources throw into a toilet while our leaders merely went on vacation or declared some kind of bizarre victory.  So, I wanted to share my experience even if it was a few online posts.

 My journal posts on social media to chronicle the desolation:

 

August 15th, 2021:

(On the fall of the capital, Kabul)

GG Afghanistan.  Well done Administration over there at the vacation home in Camp David!  What’re we fixing next?  With the brutal and repressive Taliban triumphant after 20 years, women finally set to be back to the early Middle Ages, and thousands of freed Al Queda prisoners all in the rear view mirror and ready to celebrate the 20th anniversary of 9/11, can we now focus on here at home and stopping those pesky freedom things from holding ourselves back in the Neanderthal era?  Can we finally police the masking or punishing of vaccinated or COVID-surviving/immune, healthy individuals?  I say there’s nothing we can’t do if we put our people to research it while in month 17 of this success.  Even if it takes 18.5 more years to reach the Afghanistan level of success only here at home with COVID, anything is always worth a try.

August 16th, 2021:

(Weapons and Biden's Foreign Policy Experience)

A real, epic disaster! You don't often get to witness the destruction of a nation simply by a superpower voluntarily leaving in haste, but here at home we have our own safety problems, so if we can just get healthy little Jimmy to not have to be asked to wear three masks while staying behind a plastic shield or if we can just stop complaining about what he/she/they are or aren't "learning" in that virtual classroom. At least Obama's alleged saying that "Don't underestimate Joe's ability to f... things up" will be proven wrong now that Biden is returning from his vacation retreat, providing strong leadership after we hear his speech today, and maybe even him personally rescuing the panicking people falling from our helicopters and planes, that weren't going to be needed according to Joe like they were in 1975 Saigon, Vietnam. It will be okay.

Since May/June, Joe never really wanted those provincial capitals, Bagram airbase, a treasure trove of abandoned weaponry, Al Qaeda and ISIS prisoners, the capital city, an allied/non-extremist government, allied interpreters and friends now being rooted out door to door by the Taliban for beheading, Afghan women, our Kabul embassy, our flag raised instead of lowered, the safety of American personnel, the blood invested over there etc. etc. etc. etc. etc. Supposedly with more troops headed there making a combined total of troops greater than at the start of the hasty rout he imposed a few months ago against almost all advice, we got the better end of this bargain. It will be okay, this is where Joe's experience and specialty comes into play, especially considering the one agreement from the last administration that he decided not to rip up (with the Taliban), or when he's the "last one in the room" and an important decision has to be made, right or wrong or stupid. We will be safe, somewhere, don't worry.

August 17th, 2021

(On Biden's Afghan speech)

What a speech! He said the buck stops with him, and I think we need to just accept his word once again like when he said the country wouldn't ever fall because of our training and the technology that the Taliban now are using. I admire his truthful consistency like when he told us if we go get the shot, we wouldn't have to wear a mask. But medical and military problems change so he's right on top of both issues even if there was an away message at the White House all weekend.

On everything else, he didn't say anything that he might have gotten even slightly wrong other than it being a mild surprise, like covering your eyes and saying boo to a baby or jumping out from behind a door to give a mild scare to a cognitively dysfunctional old man in a way that doesn't provoke a heart attack. So maybe, he was only very slightly surprised at the speed of the collapse he initiated 5 months ago. Lay off him folks.

All blame is accepted by him, except for everything being Trump's fault because Biden didn't like the managed withdrawal deal with the Taliban from 2019-2020, but unlike "Remain in Mexico" concerning COVID among foreign nationals at the border and every other other Trump-era deal he shredded without regard for what was in them just because Trump negotiated them, he decided to keep this one that he specifically disliked.

Because he decided to stick with the disliked Afghan deal anyways, it took courage to decide in April that we're leaving some landlocked place far away, and difficult logistical decisions have to slowly be made about the people still there and he shouldn't be rushed into planning to get them out once the troops were gone that rather easily defended our interests before.

If 3,500 US troops and the US airforce can hold a country together prior to June and lose no provincial capitals or Kabul or our airbase at Bagram or our embassy or women or our allies, I can think of no better way to leave Afghanistan without taking a humiliating "L" than to increase and not decrease US troop presence to about 7,000 after already leaving, even if temporarily, and then to beg, I mean negotiate, with the vicious Taliban victors to play nice as we huddle at a part of an airport to continue unplanned evacuation while they start the beheadings and start distributing child brides to their men.

It's better that we have more soldiers over there now that the country is lost rather than leaving behind a force that's barely 1/10 the size of US forces protecting South Korea since 1953 in that other forever war. Better to lose a country in the worst way possible so Biden doesn't have to oversee another forever war or leave it to a fifth president since hundreds of thousands of troops are permanently deployed all over the world going as far back as 1945, doing soldier things like the small force was in year 20 of the Afghan conflict.

Maybe Biden is on to something about having no troops anywhere, and that will come as a pleasant surprise to China as it eyes Taiwan and its increased doubts on whether US forces will help defend the island as it has promised to do since 1949. I'm sure the rather successful SecDef, SecState, and the Joint Chiefs can find better things for fighters to do here at home short of unemploying them. Teach them things about our terrible history instead of military science to inspire them to fight and possibly die for it, even though we don't seem to have the attention span to fight for our interests anyways, or ordering them to get the COVID shot without clearing up lingering mistrust from the Anthrax shot debacle? Seems like a better thing for our employees to do than being paid to fight.

In short, I think we need to accept our leader's expert, sound military logic that it's better to redeploy in the middle of a nightmare than to hold on in an earlier, better position. It all takes courage and people just need to adjust their thinking if we're going to be mentally ready when our weakness invites terrible nations to advance in the wake of our departure. Americans are tired, maybe from reading my lengthy congratulations, and Biden is too, so I just wanted to write how courageous and well-executed this all was.

Have a nice day (while we still have them)!

August 18th, 2021

(It's Rude to Question A Leader in the Middle of Losing A War)

Gosh, can't they just stop yelling (rude) questions at Biden about Afghanistan? I was going to stop posting, but it got me so mad seeing those disrespectful, logical questions. The press conference was about COVID only and we know there aren't supposed to be real questions about that either, so what are the origins of this sudden journalistic nerve? The real experts are in this for a little while at least and if they can just survive hostile territory and go on an unexpected journey to their potential rescuers before the firm deadline of August 31st and before being abandoned to torture and murder and then provide some answers to the administration at a debriefing, then Biden's people will let us know months later what's really going on on the ground among those that barely made it to the finish line.

Perhaps if reporters would just send some favorable comments in the form of a politely worded voicemail to the White House's or State Department's answering machine, they'd get an adequate response whenever deemed timely. And I really don't get why people put so much pressure on them when they put "a lid" on answers to reporters or simply walk away from the press like today, something that these ungrateful press should understand since it was acceptable to them throughout the 2020 campaign (because: "Drumpf").

And let's be honest, do we really value answers to tough questions by government secretaries unless they lead off by saying something is "personal to them" while providing as little as they want afterwards. Even without any valuable information, an empathetic statement is all I need! Today, I got just that and I really felt better about their decisions because they said they felt something too.

Just take Brian Williams and other "journalists" as an example when they rightly labeled Biden's speech yesterday as a strongly worded, courageous, and principled statement about withdrawal. Spot on! Or imagine the benign deference of one of the thousands of hostages cowering outside of the Kabul airport tweeting a plea to anyone on Twitter, maybe even to the Taliban spokesman to let them in for a flight to American "freedoms" because both tweets fit within Twitter's terms and conditions as a private company? That's how tweets are done folks! Could a banned Drumpf after January 6th or Biden's ridicuously hostile interrogators learn a thing or two? Indubitably!

And for those complaining about the State Department not adequately or urgently processing the papers of those trying to flee, drowning them in a sea of red tape, likely because they burned the evidence of American collusion in case they're caught, just remember that we haven't even fully implemented NYC's segregation plan to have vaccination cards and photo identification IDs (NOT for voting, double emphasis added) checked for the un-vaccinated, especially adversely affecting minorities should they wish to be permitted to enter restaurants in areas where they live in large numbers. It's just one city so far, but hopefully everywhere soon, so give SecState Blinken some time to process the desperate people being beaten or shot for entering the relative safety of half of Kabul airport! If DeBlasio is leading the way on IDs in NYC by denying unvaccinated minorities dinner at a sit-in restaurant, Biden can't be too far behind in vetting those desperates in Afghanistan 6,600 miles away who want in to our country-with some conditions!

This had to happen and at this press conference, Biden is simply trying to give the same amount of moral strength to rejecting questions about Delta as he did to the past 5 months of horribly mismanaged withdrawal. This is "personal to me" so I have no other answers other than to politely beg the press to leave Joe alone and let him solve COVID by some arbitrary and politically advantageous deadline and maybe think about Afghanistan's next deadline if he's ready and willing after vacation.

August 19th, 2021

(Foreign Policy Expert, Joe Biden, Questioned by Ignorant Amateur in an Interview)

God, forgive me if I'm wrong about [this], but why is George (Stephanoplous) now all of sudden going so unnecessarily hard against Biden, after they had such a great relationship before? As Biden said, people stopped dying or falling off of airplanes to escape to our COVID-era "freedoms" a long 4-5 days ago and no one's being killed right now. Who knows how many people are trapped throughout Afghanistan in jeopardy waiting on further text messages from a State Department that is known for having a missing Department Secretary and for being absentee, but Biden says at least they're not dying over there, which is great comfort, and that should be enough for me, a self-described news amateur, or anyone else not working in Biden's difficult role.

Even if the amount of contact with those left behind is unknown, let alone their specific fates while being forced to journey unprotected to Kabul airport, then why can't George just recognize the President's desire to pick up the pace of withdrawal regardless of the consequences since Biden knows the dying ended? If it happened days ago, even if it was always going to be this chaotic in Joe's careful mental planning of the operation over many months, the deaths were "priced in" and were probably going to be over with at some point if a President says so, so why should either man worry about it? Who is George to question him about this or get that unnecessary COVID question in at the end?

He ain't a doctor or a President so just let Biden speak. Come on man! It's about empathy, folks, and I think Joe knows better.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/full-transcript-abc-news-george-stephanopoulos-interview-president/story?id=79535643&fbclid=IwAR3Evc9JEYt2reWWia50tQbl3vM_SH85h4Q7_BRH6n7TMXUUG2c-SSgO95o

August 20th, 2021

(Timeline of Afghan Defeat, Samples from Declassified Report, and a Template to Question Failed Military Leaders)

 

After hearing the President and his top national security leaders speak heroically in defense of their policy this afternoon, I was further inspired and wanted to do some basic journalistic work since most of the media has changed for the worse lately, maybe except for Joy Reid if anyone else wants to join me and think about watching her. The media is not doing its job in defending the Biden Administration nearly enough as they always deserve (because: Drumpf). Because it's not delusional to believe "America is Back" or that our allies are confident of our ability to support them or that we still will never leave a man or women behind in a nightmare, I wanted to delve a bit into the superb decision-making here in a nation that is steadily building back better, especially overseas.

Though I eat these sorts of long reports for breakfast (perfectly legal figurative language for reading while I'm eating), if anyone has a meme to contradict anything in the report, the transcript of America's President's press conference, or any of the ways I carefully lay out the contradictions always in the Biden Administration's favor, please consider it your duty to drown actual arguments or evidence with that meme, for or against.

Attached in a link is the 214 page Inspector General Report for Afghanistan Reconstruction from July 30th, 2021. I know there are lots of words and numbers and stuff, but by breaking some of it down, I want to show that regardless of what the bureaucracy was saying about the upcoming Afghan collapse a month ago, Biden and his largely silent secretaries were presenting a better Truth for all Americans in the past 4-5 days since people supposedly stopped dying over there.

Finally, note that I use the page number for the PDF file and not the document numbers because every page matters to me, including prefaces or appendices. I presumed that only the most committed would print out this report and use it for coffee-table reading.

Here are just a few samples from the report:

#1: "July 12–15: Four media outlets publish maps indicating Taliban control majority of Afghan districts, with many taken since May 1," when Biden emphatically insisted the formal withdrawal begin no matter what (p.7). But in reality, when Biden declared on July 8th, four days earlier that "the Afghan troops have 300,000 well-equipped — as well-equipped as any army in the world — and an air force against something like 75,000 Taliban. It is not inevitable," he knew that the weaponry didn't matter in the face of a majority of districts falling to the Taliban (p. 55) and the costs of death, destruction, self-eliminated intelligence capabilities, and the creeping rise of a new terrorist state during the height of the Afghan fighting season would be "priced in" into his decision. Without the most well-equipped army equipment left behind, the US wouldn't be able to get its forces out because they might be fired upon by weaker technology if they didn't leave only the most advanced welcoming gifts.

That stuff or airports or other tools to maintain so-called "over the horizon capabilities" weren't needed because US soldiers weren't going to be fighting back unless they were heavily attacked so why bring home the equipment or the capabilities home too? And who needs a forward base like Bagram in a country when it could be far away in Qatar (p. 60) and when Afghanistan and not Qatar is supposed to be a jumping off point for the "over horizon strategy" to target resurgent terrorist groups like Al Qaeda (p.60)?
If our contacts are burned by the takeover and driven into hiding or more likely killed, what need would we have of protecting them from the terrorists we can no longer see over the horizon? Biden made the right calculation to abandon all the stuff and contacts so that American forces wouldn't be attacked by the Taliban's lower class technology prior to routing the remaining Afghan government's better equipped forces and after he knew from briefings that the Taliban had already seized the majority of districts by July 12-15, and so that our intelligence contacts would be burned, and then we wouldn't have to see what's over the horizon anymore because presumably it's pretty scary.

#2: NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg might have believed and been clear-eyed that there were significant risks in ending the military mission (p.30), and one could infer that he meant the perils of precipitously doing that and that he was clearly disagreeing with the US approach, but when Biden simply told our NATO allies we were done without giving time to hear out those risks, he was taking a multilateral approach and working with our allies for what's best for the world by not listening to them at all and eventually leaving them high and dry to get their own people out, like France and Great Britain are currently doing. If SecGen Stoltenberg and NATO were really "clear-eyed," they would have antipicated Biden's get out-at-any-cost, destroy-your-allies'-confidence, make-sure-Americans-don't-fire-any-weapons-or-they'll-be-attacked approach and had the rest of the allies ready to step up and fill in the gap left behind by a self-defeated US administration. Biden is and was ready, the rest of the world is and was not.

#3: On Biden's orders, he ensured the dissolution of another Drumpf-era capability, instituted as a result of the aftermath of the 2012 Benghazi disaster at the US consulate in Libya, and designed to withdraw non-military American personnel and Afghan allies from the outer provinces first. In Afghanistan, making the US soldiers come out first instead of the weak and undefended simply because the largely feckless Afghan government that was about to be abandoned anyways regardless of the consequences requested they remain for stability purposes has to be one of the soundest military and logistical decisions of this 20 year war.

You'll note on page 50-51 of the report, that although most of the districts had already been overrun by the Taliban, clearly displaying the ineptitude to everyone but Biden on July 8th of the Afghan army to perform without the prospect of American soldiers and aircraft backing them, that the personnel and allies left behind were perfectly capable of defending themselves if they simply joined in on the looting of superior technology left behind. Imagine what they couldve done if those left behind to their own devices got to a fully loaded Bagram airbase when the lights were turned off, signaling to the Taliban and looters to enter before the un-notified Afghan government could arrange its troops to claim it? I can think of no better instance of self-help for a nation, maybe since Nixon's Vietnamization strategy in the late 1960s-early 70s to bolster South Vietnam, than forcing civilian Americans and their allies to pick up some really great weapons and learn how to defend themselves after America's paid government employees who fight for a living are withdrawn first to move on to bigger and better things.

#4: Finally, I'd like to consider the issue of stepped up Taliban violence at the same time as the complete elimination of so-called insider attacks or any other form of violence directed at US forces (p.63). It is true that no American soldier has been killed by the Taliban since February 2020. Rather than this fact showing the effectiveness of the February 2020 agreement under Drumpf to prevent the loss of life of US personnel while maintaining a conditions-based withdrawal and at the same time showing the ineffectiveness of the Afghan military forces to prevent the loss of their own citizens, instead, Biden correctly inferred on April 1st that pulling the plug on US soldiers would lead to the Afghan military stepping up to defend a country, even civilian Americans left behind, that it was barely defending at all since he took office. Biden correctly proved that he didn't need conditions on US withdrawal including getting civilians and allies out first or to perform a viability test on the Afghan army, which it failed long before Kabul fell and 10-15,000 people are still scrambling to exit from airports that were already hard to control in July (pg 117-121).

Now that you have my template, I urge you all to read the report for yourselves, listen to Biden's speeches, and think about what you can do to support his decisions and prevent anyone at the top from being forced to resign in disgrace and lose their jobs because there are many other important issues like vaccine mandates, January 6th retribution, Drumf's financial records, or infrastructure that we should be focusing on.

Here are some topics to consider using this form of gung-ho analysis:

  • Afghan National Defense and Security Forces (ANDSF), their viability as a US-trained, superior-to-the-Taliban fighting force, especially considering the advantage Biden gave to their "air-force" over the Taliban's non-existent one prior to their seizure of those planes and helicopters with the country (pgs. 63-81)
  • The peace plan and relations between what Biden characterized as the strongly-backed Afghan government (now defunct) and the Taliban (pgs. 83-88)
  • strong indications in July of the impending human rights disaster especially for refugees and displaced persons, especially women after US withdrawal, that Biden at least "priced in" to his withdrawal non-strategy (pgs. 90-91, 105-109).
  • Maps and other information considering the rise in opium production, the sales of which increases finances to the Taliban and correspond in increase to the control of provinces by them, and which may lead to a spike in supplies of Opioids in the US where the problem is already a significant crisis. Biden factored this in also so the main entry points for opioids into the US through ports of entry and at the Southern border will be addressed by the President and especially Vice President Harris already tasked with some things soon enough, we can presume (pgs. 98-105).
  • COVID in Afghanistan, dismal vaccine numbers there, and how it won't be a problem with a large refugee influx into the US during the Delta wave if Biden and Faucists have anything to say about it (pgs. 141-147). 
Sources: 
 

 

August 26th, 2021

(Putting the Defeat into Historical Context and Fallout for the Afghans and Americans Left Behind)

History in the making:

Let's just take a minute from our necessary crusade to mask vaccinated COVID survivors outdoors as in Oregon, or "locking up" and/or "possibly deporting the unvaccinated to warzones" (criminals, if you ask me at certain times of the day), or crowd-source credentialing natural rights on Facebook/taking away the ability to speak about their laughably deadly, "precious freedoms," and appreciate the largest forced airlift in US history.

I know rhetoric tends to get away from us sometimes especially in the post-Drumpf era, even if it rarely comes from the Biden regime, but take a pause and think about the magnitude of the efforts our brave soldier employees are forced to do at their own peril by a rigid, nonsensical August 31st deadline. Without that added pressure, without approximately 15,000 scattered American civilians and allies being told through text to come through hostile territory and then to stay away and then to come and then to stay away, etc., from "precious freedom" at the Kabul airport, we couldn't truly shine and display our values to our angry allies who supposedly, according to one US general, are showing us up and should stop being so active so we can catch up at our own pace.

It simply wouldn't be historic enough if we picked up the pace and had a better plan to get the remaining 90-95% of Americans out. I say make the airlift more epic! Ramp up the difficulties and the carnage and be lauded for reaching a higher bar! And lets be frank, it's just flexing by the administration when it evacuates approximately 70-80,000 non-Americans before the large numbers of Americans still there. Let's see what Joe can do for the remaining lower priority evacuees, i.e. the Americans, in just 5 days. Unless you're an anti-Muslim racist, I think you'll be pleasantly surprised!

And it's even more historic considering what else he is and isn't doing right now. Even with a tragic suicide bombing today that didn't have to happen yet probably isn't at all Joe's fault, I wouldn't want to take anything away from month seven of selling the Build Back Better plan or a talk about cybersecurity that just became an issue, so just take a deep breath and appreciate this moment, his moment. However well they're executed, the administration's efforts clearly display an ability to think they can multitask during a perilous situation!

Finally, historical parallels are often difficult to work out and we don't test analogies on the SAT any longer probably because of discrimination, but why not use them here anyways if it's just more rhetoric and not based on reality? Maybe Hitler forcing the largest Allied evacuation in history at Dunkirk because he might fire on the defeated British soldiers? Or in terms of forcing Americans to walk to their own freedom because most of the soldiers were withdrawn along with the generals first, maybe the Bataan Death March even if it wasn't really "precious freedom" to the Filipinos or GIs that they were marching towards? I'm just speculating on some other potential historical analogies.....

After Tuesday, will those left behind in Afghanistan be POWs or hostages? After 9/11/2021, war trophies? I guess it depends on if Joe thinks the war is over or not while the remaining persons are under Taliban control. Even if he's unfortunately not in office 3.67 years from now, and I might add that I hope most COVID restrictions are still in place then to keep us completely safe from unvaccinated maskless terrorists, best let a 5th US president deal with the hostages so as to not taint Joe's record on not leaving the conflict to another.

Truly unprecedented effort Biden people and I hope history pats you on the backside!
 

CORRECTION 

 I neglected to include the final post about deadlines in my own rush to get this out.  Taking my cues from Biden's firm adherence to maintaining defeat deadlines, I forgot this final post.  My apologies! 

August 30th, 2021

(The Importance of Enemy Deadlines:  Taking Only Strengths from Retreating Under Fire)


It's over with in Afghanistan for the Biden regime and I think their beliefs are far from delusional because as always they're going to lead us to a 100% happily ever after. I was sitting here today reflecting on 20 years of closely watching the conflict, unlike most Americans who didn't, whether it was from my dorm room on 9/11/01 waiting ironically to go to my 10AM political science class on terrorism or to witnessing the end of today's firm deadline from the relative safety of my home, where there was the completion of the largest forced airlift in US history in response to the Biden regime's unnecessary creation of a problem. 
 
For myself, what is my greatest lesson from today? "Marfew Warfel, is it the impact from the thousands of American and allied lives lost, the 70-80,000 or more Afghan dead, the destruction, or the resources thrown away especially since Joe's April 1st announcement? Nope. "Bulkybob, is it the creation of a now heavily-armed, still repressive, Al Qaeda-allied, and radical Taliban state right on the 20th anniversary of 9/11? No again! 
 
It is the power of deadlines! I think we can all learn something from Biden's successful use of the self-imposed deadline in Afghanistan, regardless of the carnage in its wake. Some leaders like Drumpf, if you can even call them that, can't get their deadlines done whether it's the conditions-based May 1st, 2021 Afghan withdrawal agreement from the administration that lost the November 2020 election and thus couldn't declare victory or check the conditions on May 1st 2021 that they made in February 2020 or 14 days to stop the spread from 18 months ago. Why make a deadline if you're going to adjust the conditions and postpone declaring victory? Take Drumpf's failure by declaring we'd be open by Easter 2020. He didn't write his deadline in a way that allowed him to declare victory! 
 
Contrast that to Biden's victory in having a free and open Independence Day in 2021. Kamala and Joe celebrated sometimes double-masked, fully vaccinated, constantly tested, with the best medical staff, and outdoors in well-distanced placements with a limited group to interact with, but they deemed that to be free and open, so they met their deadline and won. The whole point of a deadline is to declare victory on that date and time and nothing should get in the way of that. We should take the Biden approach to more aspects of our lives. 
 
Here is my summary of this approach. Who knows what the range of application could be? Physical fitness/weight loss goals? Keeping emergency powers by reimposing any number of COVID mandates regardless of their efficacy by setting an undefined date where the goal of 0% COVID of any variant will be met? Losing thousands of NYS health care workers during the largest spike in hospitalizations since January 2021 over an abrupt mandatory vaccination deadline? Whatever the consequences, pick a date and make sure you can win! 
 
Here are some factors to consider when making your Victory Deadline:
 
1. Pick a date and time for some goal to occur, then IGNORE CONSEQUENCES.
2. Decide what it is that you want to achieve, then IGNORE CONSEQUENCES.
3. Write your deadline statement in such a way that you can declare a victory no matter what, then IGNORE CONSEQUENCES.
4. Pick a person or group to blame (Strawman) for any hiccups, large or small, in the pursuit of your goals, then IGNORE CONSEQUENCES.
5. If you do not want to set a specific time and date, consider instead setting lofty or impossible goals, what I call metric deadlines, but not setting firm dates for them to be completed or by setting an unreasonable date and then publicly postponing the deadline while blaming the offending groups for the postponement of your own goal, declare victory anyways, then IGNORE CONSEQUENCES.
6. Conduct a retrospective only after your goals are met, you have declared victory, any flaws are blamed on the offending groups, your self-evaluation is necessarily biased in your favor, then IGNORE CONSEQUENCES.
7. Considering the permission you've been granted to speak by your own subordinates and regardless of the immense power of your position to set goals and to execute them, turn your back on any questions of your goals and decisions, blame your underlings for getting you into trouble, walk away, then IGNORE CONSEQUENCES.
Bye Afghanistan (then IGNORE CONSEQUENCES)!

 

Thank you for reading!  Pray there is no need for a Ukraine, Taiwanese Chronicle, or worse